Swans Matrices

Potential Swans Matrices

Covering All the Bases

Our starting point is a set of matrices designed to help you avoid overlooking potential swans. The matrices provide a checklist of potential swans in two categories: focus and residual. The focus categories are China real estate values, Middle East geopolitics and US shale oil production. The Residual Categories are selected categories from our Oil Price Taxonomy.

Collaborative Intelligence and Refinement

We plan to leverage the collaborative intelligence of professionals using TST Live Oil to refine the matrices and create new ones.

The Focus Matrix has 3 categories: China Real Estate Values, Middle East Geopolitics and US Shale Oil Production.


The residual categories are the 6 main categories: demand, supply, macro, geopolitics, the dollar and financial.